Thunderstorms May Hit Today After Record Breaking Wet April

Wettest April on Record,Month Shattered Other Records Too

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(WBEN) Sunday's heavy rains in greater Buffalo wrote another chapter in the record books, making this past month the wettest April on record. It also secured a spot for April 30th as the wettest one on that date.

A record rainfall Sunday of 1.07 inches beats the old record of .84 set in 1909.
April 2017 had a total  6.38 inches.  The old record was 5.9 set in 1961, with a normal near 3 inches.
The airport has measured 15.64" of precipitation since the New Year. That's 4.09" more than the average thus far. 
April 2017 was the sixth warmest April on record.

Hear more from the National Weather Service, at the bottom of this page

Things will change in the next few days with cooler temps and a chance of severe thunderstorms

Erie, Niagara, Orleans,Genesee,Wyoming,Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, Allegany Counties 
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, Lowville, Buffalo, Batavia,Warsaw, Geneseo, Canandaigua, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and Springville

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT  728 AM EDT Mon May 1 2017

Strong to severe thunderstorms possible later this afternoon
and evening. While there will be some showers and possible thunderstorms over the region into the midday hours...the time of concern will be later this afternoon and evening when a cold front will push across the state. This front will generate a second round of storms that could reach severe limits.

Winds aloft will be dangerously favorable for strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds but cloud cover from this morning's shower activity could limit the amount of energy available for the late day storms. Simply put, the more sun we receive todaythe greater the threat. The severe weather potential will be greatest between 3 and 6 PM for the far western counties, between 5 and 8 PM for the Finger Lakes region, and between 7 and 10 PM for the Eastern Lake Ontario region.

Along with the risk for widespread severe weather,there will be heightened concern for flooding due to slow moving downpours and very wet existing conditions.
 

From 7 First Alert Weather:

During Monday, a strong cold front will be approaching from the west in the afternoon. This front will trigger showers & thunderstorms. The Storm Prediction has WNY at Slight/15% Risk for Severe TStorms with damaging winds, but the eastern part of our viewing area (Genesee Valley) will be under an Enhanced/30% Risk, with even a low risk of an isolated tornado.

A much cooler and unsettled pattern will take over for the remainder of the week into next weekend. Gusty winds with a few scattered showers are likely on Tuesday. Wednesday will be cool and somewhat drier. More rain will approach Thursday afternoon into Friday evening. Next Saturday looks breezy, cool and showery, with some improvement for Sunday.

 

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