Rochester TV poll shows Collins with 7 point lead in NY27

Election is Tuesday

Mike Baggerman
November 02, 2018 - 11:29 am
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BUFFALO, N.Y. (WBEN) - A poll released by Rochester TV station WHEC shows Congressman Chris Collins with a seven-point lead over Nathan McMurray in the race for New York's 27th Congressional District.

The poll shows Collins obtaining 45 percent of the vote. However, it also notes that nearly 17 percent of voters are either voting for Larry Piegza or haven't made their minds up yet. About a third of voters have yet to form an opinion about the democrat, McMurray. 

Unlike past polls, the WHEC poll did not give information about the demographics of the polling, how many people were polled, and what they believe the margin of error is.

ABC Political Director Rick Klein told WBEN Friday morning that he wasn't surprised by the poll.

"People are pretty hardened in their partisanship," he said. "People have put on those jerseys, red versus blue, and I think President Trump, with the national messaging, has drawn that out as well. When you make the election a choice instead of a referendum...it does change things. Typically, late in a campaign, people vote in the party line. A lot of late-breakers that may have been on the fence, if they think about their voting, they tend to revert to where their partisan loyalties lie. "

Political Science Professor and Republican Erie County Legislator Kevin Hardwick said that the national media likely has it right by calling the race "lean right".

"It comes down to who votes," Hardwick said.

The 2018 Midterm Elections is Tuesday. 

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