WBEN Photo/Matt Moran

POLL: Cuomo Leads Molinaro by 19 Points

“Cuomo has the support of almost two-thirds of Democrats"

June 13, 2018 - 5:47 am

Loudonville, NY.  (WBEN) - Governor Andrew Cuomo has a 51-44 percent favorability rating among likely general election voters, compared to 49-44 percent in April among registered voters. He leads Dutchess County Executive Marc Molinaro – who is essentially unknown to more than two-thirds of likely voters – 56-37 percent, according to a new Siena College poll of likely New York State general election voters.

Among Democrats polled, Cuomo leads Cynthia Nixon 61-26 percent (up from 58-27 percent in Siena’s April poll of registered voters). Nixon, too, leads Molinaro but by a narrower 46-35 percent margin.

“With the Democratic primary three months away, Democrats strongly view Cuomo favorably, 67-28 percent, while they view Nixon favorably by a smaller 40-26 percent. He has a 72-23 percent favorability rating among self-described liberals, while liberals view Nixon favorably 51-18 percent,” said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg. “Nixon has a lot of catching up to do to make this race competitive. Cuomo is well known and well liked by New York Democrats. Although similar percentages of Democrats view Cuomo and Nixon unfavorably, Cuomo has a significantly larger percentage of Democrats viewing him favorably.

“Cuomo has the support of almost two-thirds of Democrats in New York City and more than three-quarters in the downstate suburbs. While he has a narrower 47-39 percent lead upstate, upstate accounted for only about one-third of the 2014 primary vote,” Greenberg said. “There is no gender gap to favor Nixon, as Cuomo leads with men by 31 points and with women by 37 points. He also leads among black voters 74-17 percent.”

“Looking ahead to the general election, Molinaro also has a lot of work to do if he wants to be the first Republican to win statewide in 16 years. Molinaro has an 18-11 percent favorability rating, with 71 percent of likely voters unable to offer an opinion about him,” Greenberg said.

“Cuomo has nearly twice the support of Republicans, 25 percent, as Molinaro has support among Democrats,
13 percent, with independents giving Cuomo a narrow four-point edge,” Greenberg said.  “While Molinaro has a six-point lead upstate, Cuomo has a huge 65-point lead in New York City and a 17-point lead in the downstate suburbs, where Republicans have to win – or at least keep it close – to win statewide.

“In June 2014, Cuomo led then-Republican candidate Rob Astorino 57-21 percent in a Siena College poll, before going on to beat Astorino 54-40 percent in November 2014,” Greenberg said.

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