Cambria: Trump Has '50-50' Shot of Having SCOTUS Hear Argument on Travel Ban

Trump wants high court to reinstate ban on those from six Muslim-majority nations

Tom Puckett
June 05, 2017 - 4:00 am
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Buffalo, NY (WBEN) President Trump late last week asked the Supreme Court to hear his case to allow a travel ban on people from six Muslim-majority nations. A local attorney thinks Trump has a 50-50 chance at having it heard and getting the ban reinstated.

The legal fight pits Trump's significant authority over immigration against what lower courts have said is a policy that purported to be about national security but was intended to target Muslims.

Paul Cambria believes it will come down to one question. "I think it's a strict interpretation question of the power of the president under the statute he's relying on," says Cambria. "His attorneys tried to plug whatever holes were in the case by changing the order, and I'd be surprised if they didn't do a good job. I think he has a viable shot in the Supreme Court."

Cambria says Trump does have some allies on the high court "including Clarence Thomas and John Roberts, it will be interesting to see what their positions will be, but they are among the most conservative judges." Cambria doubts Justice Anthony Kennedy will retire before the case is heard. "He's always been a swing vote, you never know which way he will go. I think he would wait until after the case is decided," says Cambria.  

Cambria notes if the case is heard, it will likely be expedited. "The interesting part is will it be heard before the summer recess. Probably not, so you're looking at sometime in October," predicts Cambria. 

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